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The Memo: Democrats divided on Biden's vulnerabilities for 2024

New polling reveals just how vulnerable President Biden is roughly a year out from the 2024 election.

Biden has persistently low approval ratings. There are widespread concerns about his age. And, in head-to-head polls against four-times-indicted former President Trump, Biden is in a dead-heat at best. 

Now, polls in battleground states are flashing warning signs as well.

Democrats are divided as to what it all means, and how bleak the situation has become.

Some blast Biden’s circle for what they see as complacency, while others insist that he needs to do more to rev up his base. Other Democrats hew to a more optimistic view, contending that Trump is near-unelectable in a general election, in part because of the legacy of Jan. 6, 2021.

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Among the Biden skeptics is one Democratic strategist who asked for anonymity to speak candidly. 

“What the White House has not come to terms with is, next year’s election is going to be a referendum on the president — and right now he is losing that vote,” the strategist said.

“The fact that he is tied with a former president who faces 91 charges — and yet the White House does not seem to grasp that they have a fundamental reelection problem — is unbelievable,” the frustrated strategist added.

Trump would be a slight favorite in a 2020 rematch if the election were held tomorrow, based on national polling and the vagaries of the electoral college.

In the RealClearPolitics (RCP) national polling average, Trump has led for the last month, having lagged Biden for much of the summer.

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